Septemvri Tervel vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Tervel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
RAS
0 - 3
SEP
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
SEP
3 - 0
SHA
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 0
SEP
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SEP
3 - 1
SUV
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
SEP
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SVA
3 - 0
HIM
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 4
SVA
13%
22%
65%
|
51 | 16 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 3
SVA
20%
24%
57%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
SVA
6 - 0
BEN
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
DVE
0 - 3
SVA
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |