Septemvri Tervel vs Chernomorets Balchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Tervel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 0
SEP
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SEP
1 - 0
DVE
77%
16%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SHU
0 - 1
SEP
21%
23%
57%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SEP
5 - 1
PRO
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
DOR
0 - 2
SEP
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Balchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SVE
1 - 1
CHE
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
BOT
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
KUB
2 - 3
CHE
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 1
CHE
78%
15%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 0
DVE
28%
25%
47%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |