Septemvri Tervel vs Ariston Ruse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Tervel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SHA
1 - 0
SEP
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SEP
1 - 2
LUD
7%
20%
73%
|
30 | 71 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
SKS
3 - 1
SEP
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SEP
0 - 2
FOP
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
DVE
1 - 0
SEP
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ariston Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
LUD
1 - 0
ARR
85%
11%
3%
|
30 | 71 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ARR
2 - 1
SKS
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
FOP
2 - 0
ARR
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ARR
2 - 0
DVE
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
RAS
1 - 2
ARR
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |