Septemvri Sofia vs Neftochimik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
SEP
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SEP
0 - 3
SPO
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
BPL
0 - 3
SEP
16%
27%
58%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SEP
5 - 0
SOZ
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
SEP
4 - 1
ETA
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Neftochimik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
LOK
2 - 1
NEF
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
NEF
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
NEF
3 - 1
LUD
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
SOZ
3 - 2
NEF
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NEF
2 - 1
SEP
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |