Septemvri Simitli vs Belasitsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
PIR
1 - 2
SEP
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SEP
2 - 1
RIL
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
SEP
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
SEP
4 - 0
VIH
23%
25%
52%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
OBO
2 - 0
SEP
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Belasitsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLI
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
GER
1 - 1
BEL
40%
26%
35%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 1
FKM
33%
26%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 0
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BEL
4 - 4
BAL
70%
16%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |