Septemvri Simitli vs Bansko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
16º
16º
12
8º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 41 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 38 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 37 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 35 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 32 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 29 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 28 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 28 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 24 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 24 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 23 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 23 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 22 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 21 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 21 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 19 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 16 |
17º
|
40% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 8 |
18º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2025 |
PIR
3 - 1
SEP
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2025 |
SEP
0 - 2
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
CSK
1 - 1
SEP
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
SEP
0 - 0
LSO
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
SEP
1 - 1
OBO
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bansko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2025 |
BAN
2 - 1
SLI
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2025 |
SSO
0 - 1
BAN
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
BAN
2 - 3
FKK
29%
25%
47%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
SSO
3 - 2
BAN
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
BAN
2 - 1
KOS
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |