Sepsi vs Farul Constanța analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
6º
6º
53
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sepsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SSG
3 - 0
CLU
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SSG
1 - 2
CSU
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CLU
2 - 1
SSG
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
SSG
2 - 0
RAP
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SSG
4 - 1
MIO
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
CLU
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
STB
2 - 1
SFC
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 2
CSU
44%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 1
SFC
38%
26%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAO
3 - 0
SFC
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |