AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Seongnam FC vs Al-Karamah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seongnam FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SEO
2 - 1
JEO
50%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
DCI
1 - 2
SEO
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
SEO
1 - 2
GYE
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
POH
2 - 1
SEO
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
SEO
1 - 1
ULS
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Karamah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2007 |
ALK
2 - 0
NEF
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
TIS
0 - 0
ALK
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
SAD
1 - 1
ALK
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
ALK
2 - 1
ALJ
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALK
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |