CAF Qualifying Grupo I. Jor. 3

Senegal vs Guinea-Bissau analysis

Senegal Guinea-Bissau
83 ELO 49
-10.2% Tilt -12.5%
148º General ELO ranking 2922º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
87.1%
Senegal
10.1%
Draw
2.8%
Guinea-Bissau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
Senegal
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.9%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.1%
2.9%
Win probability
Guinea-Bissau
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Senegal
Guinea-Bissau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Senegal
Senegal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2020
MAR
Morocco
3 - 1
Senegal
SEN
58%
24%
19%
84 86 2 0
17 Nov. 2019
SWZ
Eswatini
1 - 4
Senegal
SEN
9%
22%
69%
84 48 36 0
13 Nov. 2019
SEN
Senegal
2 - 0
Congo
COG
68%
21%
11%
84 67 17 0
20 Oct. 2019
GIN
Guinea
1 - 0
Senegal
SEN
31%
28%
42%
84 71 13 0
10 Oct. 2019
BRA
Brazil
1 - 1
Senegal
SEN
85%
11%
3%
84 97 13 0

Matches

Guinea-Bissau
Guinea-Bissau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2020
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 0
Guinea-Bissau
GNB
56%
23%
21%
50 59 9 0
17 Nov. 2019
COG
Congo
3 - 0
Guinea-Bissau
GNB
64%
21%
15%
50 67 17 0
13 Nov. 2019
GNB
Guinea-Bissau
3 - 0
Eswatini
SWZ
33%
22%
45%
49 49 0 +1
10 Sep. 2019
GNB
Guinea-Bissau
2 - 1
Sao Tome and Principe
STP
63%
20%
17%
49 36 13 0
04 Sep. 2019
STP
Sao Tome and Principe
0 - 1
Guinea-Bissau
GNB
21%
22%
57%
48 37 11 +1
X