Senegal vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 0
MRT
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
3 - 0
COD
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
0 - 1
UGA
76%
16%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CIV
0 - 1
SEN
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
DZA
2 - 2
SEN
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MDG
3 - 1
MOZ
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
SDN
0 - 3
MDG
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
MDG
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | +3 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MDG
2 - 1
GHA
14%
24%
62%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
MDG
3 - 1
BEN
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |