Tanzania vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2025 |
ZAN
2 - 1
BFA
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ZAN
1 - 0
KEN
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
ZAN
0 - 1
BFA
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
ZAN
1 - 0
TAN
79%
15%
7%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
ZAN
0 - 0
TAN
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
RUS
1 - 1
NGA
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
JAM
2 - 2
NGA
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
NGA
2 - 1
GHA
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
NGA
1 - 1
ZIM
79%
15%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
RWA
0 - 2
NGA
13%
22%
66%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |