COSAFA Cup . Final

Zambia vs Zimbabwe analysis

Zambia Zimbabwe
74 ELO 70
-13% Tilt -12.9%
861º General ELO ranking 1963º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52%
Zambia
24.8%
Draw
23.2%
Zimbabwe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
Zambia
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.2%
Win probability
Zimbabwe
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zambia
+6%
-13%
Zimbabwe

ELO progression

Zambia
Zimbabwe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zambia
Zambia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2018
ZMB
Zambia
1 - 0
Madagascar
MDG
63%
22%
16%
74 60 14 0
02 Jun. 2018
ZMB
Zambia
0 - 0
Namibia
NAM
58%
24%
19%
75 65 10 -1
24 Mar. 2018
ZAF
South Africa
2 - 0
Zambia
ZMB
49%
28%
24%
76 80 4 -1
21 Mar. 2018
ZMB
Zambia
2 - 2
Zimbabwe
ZWE
52%
26%
23%
76 69 7 0
27 Jan. 2018
ZMB
Zambia
0 - 1
Sudan
SDN
70%
20%
10%
77 59 18 -1

Matches

Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2018
LSO
Lesotho
0 - 0
Zimbabwe
ZWE
16%
24%
60%
69 51 18 0
03 Jun. 2018
ZWE
Zimbabwe
1 - 1
Botsuana
BWA
59%
25%
16%
69 59 10 0
18 Apr. 2018
ZWE
Zimbabwe
0 - 1
Botsuana
BWA
62%
24%
14%
70 57 13 -1
21 Mar. 2018
ZMB
Zambia
2 - 2
Zimbabwe
ZWE
52%
26%
23%
69 76 7 +1
11 Nov. 2017
NAM
Namibia
3 - 1
Zimbabwe
ZWE
27%
27%
46%
70 62 8 -1
X