Zambia vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 2
CMR
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
NGA
1 - 0
ZAM
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
ALG
0 - 1
ZAM
57%
23%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ZAM
3 - 1
ALG
35%
30%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 0
RSA
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CGO
1 - 1
UGA
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
UGA
0 - 0
GHA
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
UGA
76%
17%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
UGA
1 - 0
EGY
19%
25%
56%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
RWA
2 - 0
UGA
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -2 |