Zambia vs Somalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
ZMB
0 - 0
BDI
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
TZA
0 - 1
ZMB
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
LBY
1 - 0
ZMB
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
YEM
0 - 1
ZMB
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ZMB
4 - 0
COM
83%
13%
5%
|
76 | 8 | 68 | 0 |
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
TZA
3 - 0
SOM
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BDI
2 - 0
SOM
60%
22%
17%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ERI
1 - 2
SOM
35%
25%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SOM
0 - 1
RWA
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
UGA
4 - 0
SOM
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | -1 |