Zambia vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
60%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
0 - 0
MAR
35%
30%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
0 - 2
ANG
53%
25%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 1
ZAM
51%
27%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
UGA
1 - 0
ZAM
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 0
UGA
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 1
NOR
22%
26%
52%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
HUN
0 - 2
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
CYP
1 - 3
NOR
20%
24%
56%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SUI
1 - 1
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
SVN
67%
21%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |