AFCON Qualifying Group Stages Round 6

Zambia vs Cape Verde analysis

Zambia Cape Verde
76 ELO 70
-17.1% Tilt -7.3%
1411º General ELO ranking 1477º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.2%
Zambia
26.5%
Draw
22.4%
Cape Verde

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
Zambia
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.4%
Win probability
Cape Verde
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Zambia
Cape Verde
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zambia
Zambia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2014
MOZ
Mozambique
0 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
21%
25%
54%
76 62 14 0
25 Oct. 2014
ZAM
Zambia
1 - 1
Côte d'Ivoire
CIV
16%
22%
61%
76 87 11 0
15 Oct. 2014
ZAM
Zambia
3 - 0
Niger
NIG
66%
22%
12%
76 59 17 0
11 Oct. 2014
NIG
Niger
0 - 0
Zambia
ZAM
20%
24%
57%
76 59 17 0
10 Sep. 2014
CPV
Cape Verde
2 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
34%
26%
40%
77 71 6 -1

Matches

Cape Verde
Cape Verde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2014
CPV
Cape Verde
3 - 1
Niger
NIG
64%
22%
15%
70 58 12 0
15 Oct. 2014
CPV
Cape Verde
1 - 0
Mozambique
MOZ
56%
24%
21%
70 62 8 0
11 Oct. 2014
MOZ
Mozambique
2 - 0
Cape Verde
CPV
28%
28%
45%
71 61 10 -1
10 Sep. 2014
CPV
Cape Verde
2 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
34%
26%
40%
71 77 6 0
06 Sep. 2014
NIG
Niger
1 - 3
Cape Verde
CPV
28%
27%
45%
70 60 10 +1