Yibuti vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
67.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yibuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
DJI
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
DJI
1 - 2
BDI
25%
23%
51%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
TUN
8 - 1
DJI
85%
12%
3%
|
35 | 82 | 47 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
NAM
4 - 0
DJI
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
DJI
0 - 4
NAM
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
TGO
2 - 1
LBR
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 0
TGO
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 1
TGO
20%
25%
56%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
GHA
3 - 1
TGO
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
TGO
1 - 4
GIN
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |