Venezuela vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
PRY
1 - 1
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
VEN
1 - 4
URY
16%
21%
64%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
VEN
0 - 0
URY
15%
20%
65%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 0
PER
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 2
BOL
45%
23%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
PRY
1 - 1
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
6 - 0
PRY
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2007 |
ARG
1 - 0
PRY
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2007 |
USA
1 - 3
PRY
61%
22%
17%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
PRY
5 - 0
COL
41%
26%
34%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | +1 |