Venezuela vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1975 |
VEN
0 - 4
BRA
31%
26%
44%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1972 |
BOL
2 - 2
VEN
60%
19%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
PER
1 - 0
VEN
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1972 |
YUG
10 - 0
VEN
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
PAR
4 - 1
VEN
75%
15%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1975 |
URU
2 - 3
ARG
41%
28%
31%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 2
ARG
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHI
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARG
42%
27%
32%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 1
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |