Vanuatu vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
VUT
5 - 0
TON
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
VUT
0 - 1
EST
5%
11%
85%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
FJI
2 - 3
VUT
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
VUT
0 - 5
NZL
10%
18%
73%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
VUT
0 - 1
SLB
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
PYF
1 - 2
PNG
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
PNG
1 - 3
PYF
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +4 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SLB
1 - 0
PYF
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
PYF
3 - 0
SLB
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
PYF
1 - 1
NCL
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |