Uzbekistan vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
11%
3.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 2
UZB
8%
17%
76%
|
80 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 1
UZB
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
UZB
2 - 1
THA
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 1
UZB
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
IND
0 - 3
UZB
12%
19%
69%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 2
UZB
8%
17%
76%
|
43 | 80 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 3
PSE
17%
23%
59%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 1
IRN
6%
15%
78%
|
44 | 89 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ARE
3 - 1
HKG
86%
11%
3%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 2
SAU
7%
17%
76%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |