Asian Cup Round 1

Uzbekistan vs North Korea analysis

Uzbekistan North Korea
80 ELO 76
-5.8% Tilt 0.6%
413º General ELO ranking 1827º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52.3%
Uzbekistan
24.8%
Draw
22.9%
North Korea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
Uzbekistan
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.9%
Win probability
North Korea
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Uzbekistan
+13%
-8%
North Korea

ELO progression

Uzbekistan
North Korea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Dec. 2014
IRQ
Iraq
0 - 0
Uzbekistan
UZB
36%
27%
37%
80 78 2 0
25 Dec. 2014
UZB
Uzbekistan
1 - 0
Iraq
IRQ
49%
25%
26%
80 78 2 0
21 Dec. 2014
UZB
Uzbekistan
2 - 1
Jordan
JOR
52%
25%
23%
79 77 2 +1
13 Dec. 2014
UZB
Uzbekistan
1 - 0
Palestine
PLE
73%
18%
9%
79 60 19 0
14 Oct. 2014
UAE
UAE
0 - 4
Uzbekistan
UZB
57%
22%
21%
78 81 3 +1

Matches

North Korea
North Korea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2014
TWN
Taiwan
0 - 0
North Korea
PRK
8%
17%
75%
77 34 43 0
16 Nov. 2014
PRK
North Korea
5 - 1
Guam
GUM
83%
12%
5%
77 27 50 0
13 Nov. 2014
PRK
North Korea
2 - 1
Hong Kong
HKG
73%
18%
8%
77 52 25 0
06 Nov. 2014
QAT
Qatar
3 - 1
North Korea
PRK
51%
26%
23%
78 80 2 -1
02 Nov. 2014
BHR
Bahrain
2 - 2
North Korea
PRK
48%
26%
26%
78 76 2 0