Uruguay vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
URY
1 - 1
NLD
23%
25%
52%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
DEU
2 - 1
URY
70%
18%
12%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
IRL
2 - 3
URY
42%
27%
31%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
URY
13%
22%
65%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
CHL
2 - 0
URY
42%
26%
33%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CHL
4 - 0
EST
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
FRO
2 - 0
EST
22%
23%
55%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 0
EST
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 96 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
SRB
24%
28%
48%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
URY
13%
22%
65%
|
71 | 92 | 21 | +2 |