Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
60%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
CHL
3 - 1
URY
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
URY
2 - 1
ECU
61%
21%
18%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
COL
2 - 2
URY
49%
25%
26%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
URY
3 - 0
VEN
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
URY
4 - 0
PRY
70%
19%
12%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
COL
76%
16%
8%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
PER
0 - 2
BRA
10%
18%
72%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
3 - 0
ARG
59%
22%
19%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 2
BRA
8%
16%
77%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
5 - 0
BOL
88%
10%
3%
|
97 | 78 | 19 | 0 |