Ukraine vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
7 - 1
UKR
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
ESP
4 - 0
UKR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
UKR
2 - 1
CHE
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SRB
2 - 2
UKR
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
UKR
1 - 0
EST
75%
18%
8%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
DEU
3 - 3
TUR
84%
11%
5%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 1
DEU
23%
22%
56%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
DEU
1 - 1
ESP
43%
23%
35%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
DEU
6 - 1
NIR
90%
8%
2%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
DEU
4 - 0
BLR
90%
7%
2%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |