Turkey vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FRO
2 - 1
TUR
5%
13%
82%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 3
LUX
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 0
LTU
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LUX
0 - 2
TUR
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
LTU
0 - 6
TUR
12%
22%
65%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
UKR
0 - 0
SCO
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SCO
2 - 1
IRL
44%
28%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
SCO
3 - 0
UKR
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
ARM
1 - 4
SCO
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
IRL
3 - 0
SCO
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |