EC Qualifying Round 5

Turkey vs Austria analysis

Turkey Austria
92 ELO 87
-1.6% Tilt -6.5%
153º General ELO ranking 119º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
58.6%
Turkey
22%
Draw
19.4%
Austria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
Turkey
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.4%
Win probability
Austria
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Turkey
+6%
+13%
Austria

ELO progression

Turkey
Austria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Turkey
Turkey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2011
TUR
Turkey
0 - 0
South Korea
KOR
53%
25%
23%
92 91 1 0
17 Nov. 2010
NED
Netherlands
1 - 0
Turkey
TUR
73%
18%
10%
91 98 7 +1
12 Oct. 2010
AZE
Azerbaijan
1 - 0
Turkey
TUR
15%
26%
59%
91 68 23 0
08 Oct. 2010
GER
Germany
3 - 0
Turkey
TUR
72%
17%
10%
91 96 5 0
07 Sep. 2010
TUR
Turkey
3 - 2
Belgium
BEL
57%
23%
20%
91 88 3 0

Matches

Austria
Austria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2011
AUT
Austria
0 - 2
Belgium
BEL
45%
25%
31%
87 89 2 0
09 Feb. 2011
NED
Netherlands
3 - 1
Austria
AUT
75%
16%
9%
87 98 11 0
17 Nov. 2010
AUT
Austria
1 - 2
Greece
GRC
47%
26%
27%
87 90 3 0
12 Oct. 2010
BEL
Belgium
4 - 4
Austria
AUT
49%
24%
27%
87 88 1 0
08 Oct. 2010
AUT
Austria
3 - 0
Azerbaijan
AZE
81%
13%
6%
86 68 18 +1