Tunisia vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
TUN
2 - 2
SEN
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 0
ZAM
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 2
ZAM
59%
24%
18%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
AUT
0 - 0
TUN
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
TUN
2 - 0
NAM
89%
9%
3%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
RSA
1 - 1
ANG
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 1
BOT
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 0
MOZ
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
RSA
2 - 0
CAN
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
RSA
0 - 1
USA
18%
28%
55%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |