CAF Sudáfrica. Quarter-finals

Tunisia vs Gabon analysis

Tunisia Gabon
77 ELO 63
-6.8% Tilt -17.4%
216º General ELO ranking 1510º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
65.6%
Tunisia
21%
Draw
13.4%
Gabon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
Tunisia
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.4%
Win probability
Gabon
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tunisia
-1%
-4%
Gabon

ELO progression

Tunisia
Gabon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 1996
CIV
Ivory Coast
1 - 3
Tunisia
TUN
60%
24%
17%
77 80 3 0
19 Jan. 1996
GHA
Ghana
2 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
51%
28%
21%
77 80 3 0
16 Jan. 1996
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
38%
29%
33%
77 61 16 0
08 Jan. 1996
EGY
Egypt
2 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
64%
22%
15%
78 83 5 -1
03 Jan. 1996
MAR
Morocco
3 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
56%
25%
19%
78 82 4 0

Matches

Gabon
Gabon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 1996
GAB
Gabon
2 - 0
RD Congo
COD
43%
28%
29%
61 71 10 0
16 Jan. 1996
GAB
Gabon
1 - 2
Liberia
LBR
62%
22%
16%
62 54 8 -1
07 Jan. 1996
ZWE
Zimbabwe
1 - 2
Gabon
GAB
54%
25%
22%
61 66 5 +1
27 Dec. 1995
MLI
Mali
1 - 2
Gabon
GAB
55%
25%
21%
60 65 5 +1
22 Dec. 1995
BFA
Burkina Faso
2 - 5
Gabon
GAB
48%
26%
26%
59 59 0 +1
X