African WC Qual. Group H Round 7

Tunisia vs Liberia analysis

Tunisia Liberia
84 ELO 56
-16.5% Tilt -13.8%
325º General ELO ranking 3657º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
73.9%
Tunisia
18%
Draw
8.2%
Liberia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
Tunisia
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.2%
Win probability
Liberia
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tunisia
-5%
+4%
Liberia

ELO progression

Tunisia
Liberia
Equatorial Guinea
Namibia
Sao Tome and Principe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2025
MAR
Morocco
2 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
62%
22%
16%
84 88 4 0
02 Jun. 2025
TUN
Tunisia
2 - 0
Burkina Faso
BFA
61%
24%
16%
84 75 9 0
24 Mar. 2025
TUN
Tunisia
2 - 0
Malawi
MWI
76%
18%
7%
84 61 23 0
19 Mar. 2025
LBR
Liberia
0 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
13%
22%
65%
84 57 27 0
18 Nov. 2024
TUN
Tunisia
0 - 1
Gambia
GAM
71%
20%
9%
84 63 21 0

Matches

Liberia
Liberia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2025
LBR
Liberia
2 - 1
Sao Tome and Principe
STP
62%
21%
17%
57 38 19 0
19 Mar. 2025
LBR
Liberia
0 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
13%
22%
65%
57 84 27 0
28 Dec. 2024
SEN
Senegal
3 - 0
Liberia
LBR
82%
13%
5%
57 86 29 0
22 Dec. 2024
LBR
Liberia
1 - 1
Senegal
SEN
9%
22%
69%
57 87 30 0
17 Nov. 2024
ALG
Algeria
5 - 1
Liberia
LBR
89%
9%
3%
57 86 29 0