Togo vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
TOG
1 - 1
ANG
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2001 |
LBY
3 - 3
TOG
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
TOG
0 - 2
CMR
15%
23%
61%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
TOG
1 - 1
BFA
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TOG
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ANG
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
ZAM
2 - 0
LBY
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
CMR
1 - 0
ZAM
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
SWZ
2 - 1
ZAM
12%
23%
65%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2001 |
EGY
3 - 1
ZAM
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |