EC Qualifying Grupo E. Jor. 4

Switzerland vs Lithuania analysis

Switzerland Lithuania
89 ELO 71
-0.6% Tilt -4.9%
64º General ELO ranking 3084º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
77.7%
Switzerland
15.8%
Draw
6.5%
Lithuania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
Switzerland
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.5%
Win probability
Lithuania
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Switzerland
-4%
-11%
Lithuania

ELO progression

Switzerland
Lithuania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Switzerland
Switzerland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2014
SMR
San Marino
0 - 4
Switzerland
CHE
12%
21%
68%
89 30 59 0
09 Oct. 2014
SVN
Slovenia
1 - 0
Switzerland
CHE
26%
25%
49%
89 81 8 0
08 Sep. 2014
CHE
Switzerland
0 - 2
England
ENG
28%
25%
48%
90 94 4 -1
01 Jul. 2014
ARG
Argentina
1 - 0
Switzerland
CHE
71%
18%
12%
90 95 5 0
25 Jun. 2014
HND
Honduras
0 - 3
Switzerland
CHE
24%
23%
53%
89 83 6 +1

Matches

Lithuania
Lithuania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2014
LTU
Lithuania
0 - 2
Slovenia
SVN
32%
29%
39%
73 81 8 0
09 Oct. 2014
LTU
Lithuania
1 - 0
Estonia
EST
46%
26%
27%
72 69 3 +1
08 Sep. 2014
SMR
San Marino
0 - 2
Lithuania
LTU
12%
20%
69%
73 30 43 -1
03 Sep. 2014
LTU
Lithuania
1 - 1
UAE
ARE
32%
28%
40%
72 79 7 +1
06 Jun. 2014
POL
Poland
2 - 1
Lithuania
LTU
73%
18%
9%
72 87 15 0
X