WC Qual. Europe Round 6

Sweden vs Malta analysis

Sweden Malta
94 ELO 58
-3.3% Tilt 3.6%
122º General ELO ranking 4389º
Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
80.1%
Sweden
14.5%
Draw
5.4%
Malta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
Sweden
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.4%
Win probability
Malta
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sweden
-2%
-6%
Malta

ELO progression

Sweden
Malta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sweden
Sweden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2005
BGR
Bulgaria
0 - 3
Sweden
SWE
30%
27%
43%
94 89 5 0
09 Feb. 2005
FRA
France
1 - 1
Sweden
SWE
66%
21%
14%
94 99 5 0
27 Jan. 2005
MEX
Mexico
0 - 0
Sweden
SWE
44%
25%
31%
94 92 2 0
22 Jan. 2005
SWE
Sweden
1 - 1
South Korea
KOR
58%
23%
19%
94 90 4 0
17 Nov. 2004
SCO
Scotland
1 - 4
Sweden
SWE
26%
28%
46%
94 89 5 0

Matches

Malta
Malta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2005
CRO
Croatia
3 - 0
Malta
MLT
76%
17%
8%
58 92 34 0
09 Feb. 2005
MLT
Malta
0 - 3
Norway
NOR
15%
25%
60%
59 92 33 -1
17 Nov. 2004
MLT
Malta
0 - 2
Hungary
HUN
13%
21%
66%
59 87 28 0
13 Oct. 2004
BGR
Bulgaria
4 - 1
Malta
MLT
77%
15%
8%
59 89 30 0
09 Oct. 2004
MLT
Malta
0 - 0
Iceland
ISL
25%
25%
51%
59 81 22 0