Sweden vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1998 |
SWE
1 - 0
RUS
76%
15%
9%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1998 |
SWE
1 - 0
ITA
38%
29%
33%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1998 |
SWE
3 - 0
DNK
51%
26%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
SWE
0 - 0
FRA
33%
28%
38%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
ESP
4 - 0
SWE
61%
22%
17%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1998 |
ARG
2 - 2
ENG
36%
27%
37%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1998 |
COL
0 - 2
ENG
16%
25%
59%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1998 |
ROU
2 - 1
ENG
24%
26%
50%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1998 |
ENG
2 - 0
TUN
84%
12%
4%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1998 |
BEL
0 - 0
ENG
29%
28%
43%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |