South Africa vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
37.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
SDN
0 - 3
RSA
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
NZL
0 - 0
RSA
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
AUS
1 - 1
RSA
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
RSA
0 - 5
BRA
5%
13%
82%
|
82 | 97 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
3 - 1
RSA
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 3
CGO
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 0
NGA
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 3
ARG
13%
19%
69%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
NGA
1 - 0
BIH
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
IRN
0 - 0
NGA
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |