South Africa vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
EGY
0 - 0
ZAF
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
TZA
0 - 1
ZAF
15%
24%
60%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ZAF
1 - 0
EGY
33%
30%
38%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
ZAF
0 - 2
DZA
61%
25%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ZAF
2 - 1
ZWE
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
NAM
1 - 4
BFA
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BFA
4 - 0
NAM
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
CPV
1 - 0
BFA
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
BFA
2 - 1
GIN
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BFA
3 - 1
GMB
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |