South Africa vs Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ZAF
0 - 0
COD
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 1
ZAF
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CPV
0 - 0
ZAF
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
ZAF
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ZAF
0 - 0
TUN
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
AND
0 - 2
ISR
4%
12%
84%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BLR
1 - 0
AND
82%
14%
4%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ROU
4 - 0
AND
86%
11%
3%
|
39 | 84 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
AND
0 - 3
XXK
7%
14%
79%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
CHE
3 - 0
AND
89%
9%
2%
|
40 | 89 | 49 | 0 |