WC Qual. Africa Primera Ronda. Final
Global 2-3
Somalia vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.9%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
87.1%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.3%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
14%
0-5
6.3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.1%
0-6
3.2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
UGA
4 - 1
SOM
81%
15%
4%
|
32 | 69 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SOM
1 - 3
UGA
4%
11%
85%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 0
SOM
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SOM
1 - 2
SSD
21%
22%
58%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NER
4 - 0
SOM
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
ZWE
3 - 1
MUS
75%
18%
7%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
0 - 4
ZWE
10%
18%
72%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
ZWE
0 - 4
COD
33%
26%
40%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZWE
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 0
ZWE
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |