Somalia vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1985 |
MAR
3 - 0
SOM
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
KEN
6 - 5
SOM
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1984 |
MWI
1 - 0
SOM
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
ZIM
2 - 1
SOM
70%
17%
14%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1983 |
MWI
2 - 1
SOM
65%
19%
17%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1985 |
TUN
4 - 0
MTN
81%
13%
7%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1985 |
IRQ
2 - 0
MTN
87%
10%
3%
|
42 | 84 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1985 |
BHR
2 - 0
MTN
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1985 |
MTN
0 - 0
SEN
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1985 |
GUI
1 - 0
MTN
71%
17%
13%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |