Serbia vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
SRB
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 1
SRB
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
SRB
2 - 0
SCT
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
HRV
2 - 0
SRB
74%
18%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
CYP
1 - 3
SRB
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
LIE
2 - 3
HRV
6%
16%
78%
|
92 | 28 | 64 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
HRV
0 - 1
PRT
44%
26%
30%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
HRV
0 - 1
SCT
72%
19%
10%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
WLS
1 - 2
HRV
19%
24%
57%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
HRV
2 - 0
SRB
74%
18%
9%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |