Serbia vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
SRB
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
SRB
3 - 1
MNE
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HUN
2 - 1
SRB
40%
27%
34%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LTU
1 - 3
SRB
11%
24%
65%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
SRB
1 - 2
HUN
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BGR
2 - 2
HUN
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 0
BGR
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BGR
0 - 2
LTU
81%
14%
5%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MNE
2 - 1
BGR
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BGR
0 - 1
IRN
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |