CAF Qualifying Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 1-0
Sao Tome and Principe vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
CGO
1 - 1
STP
78%
16%
7%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
STP
0 - 5
CGO
12%
20%
68%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LBY
8 - 0
STP
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | -9 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
STP
0 - 1
LBY
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1981 |
EQG
1 - 1
STP
74%
14%
11%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +9 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
LSO
61%
24%
16%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
BDI
2 - 2
LSO
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 0
BDI
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 3
COD
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
NAM
0 - 0
LSO
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |