Santa Amalia vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 0
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 1
VAL
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 1
AZU
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAM
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 3
MOR
30%
25%
46%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAD
3 - 2
COR
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
DBN
0 - 0
MAD
14%
24%
62%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
UDF
1 - 2
MAD
13%
23%
64%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAD
5 - 2
ASJ
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
JER
0 - 0
MAD
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |