San Marino vs Cyprus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
65.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
GER
6 - 0
SMR
97%
3%
1%
|
43 | 96 | 53 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
WAL
3 - 0
SMR
90%
8%
2%
|
43 | 87 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
SMR
1 - 2
IRL
10%
21%
70%
|
43 | 93 | 50 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
IRL
5 - 0
SMR
90%
8%
2%
|
43 | 93 | 50 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CZE
7 - 0
SMR
96%
4%
1%
|
43 | 94 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Cyprus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
CZE
1 - 0
CYP
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CYP
1 - 3
SVK
33%
27%
39%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
CYP
0 - 3
BGR
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
CYP
2 - 1
HUN
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
CYP
1 - 1
GER
12%
20%
68%
|
77 | 96 | 19 | 0 |