UEFA Nations League League B Round 1

Romania vs Northern Ireland analysis

Romania Northern Ireland
87 ELO 82
-5.5% Tilt 0.5%
215º General ELO ranking 744º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
69%
Romania
20%
Draw
11%
Northern Ireland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
Romania
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.1%
Win probability
Northern Ireland
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Romania
+5%
+2%
Northern Ireland

ELO progression

Romania
Northern Ireland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Romania
Romania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2019
ESP
Spain
5 - 0
Romania
ROU
82%
12%
6%
87 96 9 0
15 Nov. 2019
ROU
Romania
0 - 2
Sweden
SWE
39%
27%
35%
88 89 1 -1
15 Oct. 2019
ROU
Romania
1 - 1
Norway
NOR
53%
24%
23%
88 85 3 0
12 Oct. 2019
FRO
Faroe Islands
0 - 3
Romania
ROU
13%
20%
67%
87 51 36 +1
08 Sep. 2019
ROU
Romania
1 - 0
Malta
MLT
82%
14%
4%
87 48 39 0

Matches

Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2019
GER
Germany
6 - 1
Northern Ireland
NIR
90%
8%
2%
82 94 12 0
16 Nov. 2019
NIR
Northern Ireland
0 - 0
Netherlands
NED
10%
19%
71%
82 94 12 0
14 Oct. 2019
CZE
Czech Republic
2 - 3
Northern Ireland
NIR
70%
20%
11%
81 87 6 +1
10 Oct. 2019
NED
Netherlands
3 - 1
Northern Ireland
NIR
87%
10%
3%
81 93 12 0
09 Sep. 2019
NIR
Northern Ireland
0 - 2
Germany
GER
9%
17%
75%
81 93 12 0