CAF Qualifying 1ra Ronda. Final
Global 0-2
Rwanda vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.2%
53.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
19.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
2 - 0
ZWE
23%
24%
52%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TZA
0 - 1
RWA
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
ERI
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
0 - 1
RWA
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
LBR
0 - 2
NGA
7%
21%
72%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
NGA
0 - 0
AGO
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
NGA
2 - 0
ZMB
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NGA
0 - 0
BWA
80%
14%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
GHA
0 - 0
NGA
36%
29%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |