South Korea vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 2
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 1
KOR
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
KOR
2 - 1
POR
20%
23%
57%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
KOR
2 - 3
GHA
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
URU
0 - 0
KOR
57%
22%
21%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
JPN
1 - 1
URU
38%
25%
37%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
GHA
0 - 2
URU
13%
20%
67%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
URU
59%
21%
20%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
URU
0 - 0
KOR
57%
22%
21%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 2
URU
17%
24%
59%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |