South Korea vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
IRQ
0 - 0
KOR
20%
22%
58%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
IRN
0 - 0
KOR
48%
23%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
IDN
0 - 1
KOR
7%
15%
78%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
BHR
2 - 1
KOR
9%
18%
73%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2007 |
KOR
1 - 1
SAU
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
JPN
2 - 3
SAU
65%
21%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
JPN
1 - 1
AUS
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2007 |
VNM
1 - 4
JPN
6%
15%
80%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
ARE
1 - 3
JPN
11%
18%
71%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2007 |
JPN
1 - 1
QAT
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |