East Germany vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1984 |
DDR
1 - 1
MEX
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1984 |
DDR
2 - 1
CSK
63%
22%
15%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1984 |
GRC
1 - 3
DDR
26%
28%
46%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
DDR
2 - 1
SCT
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
DDR
3 - 0
CHE
80%
15%
6%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1984 |
ROU
1 - 0
CHN
72%
18%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1984 |
ROU
4 - 2
CHN
71%
20%
10%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1984 |
PRT
1 - 0
ROU
55%
26%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1984 |
BRD
2 - 1
ROU
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1984 |
ROU
1 - 1
ESP
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |