East Germany vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
59.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
HUN
2 - 0
DDR
92%
6%
3%
|
32 | 92 | 60 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
MAR
2 - 3
DDR
80%
11%
9%
|
31 | 70 | 39 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
TUN
0 - 3
DDR
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
DDR
5 - 1
FIN
24%
22%
55%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +7 |
| 17 Aug. 1960 |
DDR
0 - 1
SUN
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 72 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
NLD
0 - 3
HUN
14%
17%
69%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
NLD
1 - 2
MEX
56%
20%
25%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1961 |
NLD
6 - 2
BEL
66%
17%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
CSK
4 - 0
NLD
67%
17%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
BEL
1 - 4
NLD
57%
19%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |